11+ hour, 24+ min ago   (259+ words) by Joe Jensen | Sep 13, 2026 | nfl Kansas City is a 2.5-point home favorite over Denver on Monday Night Football with a total of 43.5. My play is the Broncos getting the points. The market is treating this like a normal Chiefs-are-favored spot…...

1+ day, 3+ min ago   (647+ words) The books are pricing today’s total off yesterday’s 12-2 Mets explosion — a game Gerrit Cole was part of, not Cam Schlittler. Schlittler’s 2.01 ERA and 0.92 WHIP represent a fundamentally different run-suppression ceiling, yet the Over is still carrying the juice at -115 against…...

3+ day, 21+ hour ago   (161+ words) by Joe Jensen | Sep 10, 2026 | CFB Picks Alabama is a 10.5-point road favorite over Kentucky in an SEC opener with a total of 49.5. My play is the Wildcats getting the points. The 10.5-point spread requires Alabama to win by 11 or more....

3+ day, 20+ hour ago   (232+ words) Los Angeles is a 9.5-point home favorite over Arizona with a total of 47.5. My play is the Cardinals getting the points. Two things point me here. The Chargers are integrating new pieces on defense, and the head-to-head ATS history doesn’t…...

3+ day, 18+ hour ago   (543+ words) This morning I took a deep dive into stats on the games that qualified as -37 Favs, as described in my July 25, 2026 article on taking Oklahoma. But this time instead of looking at the Favs I took a look at the…...

4+ day, 19+ hour ago   (122+ words) Texas A&M is a 14.5-point home favorite over Arizona State with a total of 51.5. My play is the Under. That combination pushes points off the board on both sides. Neither offense has the ideal setup for a high-scoring game,…...

4+ day, 21+ hour ago   (185+ words) by Joe Jensen | Sep 9, 2026 | nfl Pittsburgh is a 3.5-point home favorite over the Falcons with a total of 42.5. My play is the Under. Two things about this game make the Under the cleanest read on the board. The head-to-head history…...

4+ day, 21+ hour ago   (314+ words) by Joe Jensen | Sep 9, 2026 | nfl Chicago is a 2.5-point road favorite over Carolina with a total of 47.5. My play is the Bears to cover. Two division champions from last year meet in Week 1. Both are coming off breakthrough seasons and…...

5+ day, 19+ hour ago   (276+ words) by Joe Jensen | Sep 8, 2026 | nfl Jacksonville is an 8.5-point home favorite over Cleveland with a total of 40.5. My play is the Jaguars. That last piece is significant. Cleveland traded Myles Garrett to the Rams as part of a massive offseason…...

5+ day, 18+ hour ago   (218+ words) by Joe Jensen | Sep 8, 2026 | nfl Buffalo is a 1.5-point road favorite at Houston with a total of 44.5. My play is the Texans getting the points at home. Let me start with what the market is telling us. Two teams that…...